General (Bayesian) inference

Bridge estimation of the probability density at a point,
Antonietta Mira and Geoff Nicholls, July 2000, [ps.gz, pdf]
Mathematics Department, University of Auckland, Technical Report #456

Perfect simulation for sample-based inference,
Jesper Møller and Geoff Nicholls, August 1999, [ps.gz, pdf]
Department of Mathematical Statistics, Chalmers University of Technology, Preprint 1999:33
Statistics and Computing, to appear.

Population genetics

Estimating mutation parameters, population history and genealogy simultaneously from temporally spaced sequence data,
Alexei J. Drummond, Geoff K. Nicholls, Allen G. Rodrigo and Wiremu Solomon [pdf]
Genetics (2002)

Genealogies from time-stamped sequence data,
Alexei J. Drummond, Geoff K. Nicholls, Allen G. Rodrigo and Wiremu Solomon [pdf]
ChronoBuild, Gregynog Hall, Newtown Powys, Wales, UK, April 3-6 (2002)

Critical phenomena

Spontaneous magnetisation in the plane,
Geoff Nicholls, May 1996, revised July 2000, [ps.gz, pdf]
Journal of Statistical Physics, Vol 102, pp1229-1251 (2001)

Spatial mosaics and point processes

Coloured continuum triangulation models in the Bayesian analysis of two dimensional change point problems.,
Geoff Nicholls, May 1997 ps.gz
"The art and science of Bayesian image analysis", Proceedings of the Leeds Annual Statistics Research Workshop 1997, Eds KV Mardia, CA Gill and RG Aykroyd, Leeds University Press, pp:143-150, ISBN-0-85316-178-X

Bayesian image analysis with Markov chain Monte Carlo and colored continuum triangulation models,
Geoff Nicholls, 22/2/96 Revised 13/1/97
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series B,vol 60 part 3 pp 643-659 (1998)

Simulating Polygonal Shape Models with Data,
Peter Clifford and Geoff Nicholls, December 1994, ps.Z
This is the preprint we handed round at the CWI in Amsterdam in November 1995.

"Comparison of Birth-and-Death and Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain Monte Carlo for the Strauss process",
Peter Clifford and Geoff Nicholls, April 1994 ps.gz
It turned out CJ Geyer and J Moller's paper "Simulation proceedures and likelihood inference for spatial point processes", which appeared in Scand. J. Stat, November 1994, existed as a preprint before this work was done, so we wont be publishing.

Physics-based statistical inference for classical inverse problems

Statistical estimation of the parameters of a PDE,
Colin Fox and Geoff K Nicholls [pdf]
Canadian Applied Mathematics Quarterly to appear (2002)

Prior Modelling and Posterior Sampling in Impedance Imaging,
Geoff Nicholls and Colin Fox, July 1998, ps.gz
Proceedings of SPIE, vol 3459, pp116-127 Bayesian Inference for Inverse Problems Ed. A Mohammad-Djafari, 1998 Publishers, SPIE, P.O. Box 10, Bellingham, WA 98227-0010 USA,

Sampling Conductivity Images via MCMC,
Colin Fox and Geoff Nicholls, May 1997, ps.gz
"The art and science of Bayesian image analysis", Proceedings of the Leeds Annual Statistics Research Workshop 1997, Eds KV Mardia, CA Gill and RG Aykroyd, Leeds University Press, pp:91-100, ISBN-0-85316-178-X

Exact MAP states and expectations from perfect sampling: Greig, Porteous and Seheult revisited,
Colin Fox and Geoff Nicholls, Jan 1996, revised May 2000,ps.gz
Proceedings MaxEnt 2000 Twentieth International Workshop on Bayesian Inference and Maximum Entropy Methods in Science and Engineering CNRS, Gif sur Yvette, France, July 8-13, 2000, to appear.

Radiocarbon

Reservoir offset models for radiocarbon calibration,
Martin Jones and Geoff Nicholls, August 2000 [ps.gz, pdf],
Radiocarbon (to appear) and Mathematics Department, University of Auckland, Technical Report #459,

Radiocarbon dating with temporal order constraints,
Geoff Nicholls and Martin Jones, April 1998 [ps.gz] revised September 2000, [ps.gz, pdf],
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, series C (accepted for publication)

Random-walk radiocarbon calibration,
Geoff Nicholls and Andres Christen June 2000, ps.gz
Mathematics Department, University of Auckland, Technical Report #457

Late Holocene Aboriginal occupation of the Australian arid zone,
S.J. Holdaway, P.C. Fanning, D.W. Witter, M. Jones, G.K. Nicholls and J. Shiner.
Journal of Archaeological Science (accepted for publication)